czwartek, 3 stycznia 2013

Czy Stany Zjednoczone zbankrutują w ciągu 3 lat?

Państwa na świecie nie bankrutują jak firmy, tylko ogłaszają czasową niewypłacalność. Zadłużenie USA na koniec 2012r. wynosiło około 16,4 biliona dolarów, natomiast Polski około 838 miliardów złotych. W przeliczaniu na dolary, jest to około 0,27 bln dolarów. Stosując miarodajne porównanie w Polsce zadłużenie na koniec 2012r wyniosło około 53% Produktu Krajowego Brutto wg Ministerstwa Finansów ( EUROSTAT około 56%), a w USA jest to aż około 106% PKB.
Co robi FED i rząd USA? Odpowiedź jest prosta: drukują dolary. Długi trzeba kiedyś spłacić, póki gospodarka rośnie, jest łatwiej. Polski NBP pożyczył Stanowym Zjednoczonym 30 mld dolarów, tzn. NBP posiada obligacje tej wartości. To nie dużo w skali długu USA, ale dla Polski to dużo. Problemem mogą być Chiny, które mają aż 2 bln dolarów obligacji rządowych Stanów Zjednoczonych. Co by się stało, gdyby nagle zażądały spłaty tychże papierów wartościowych, wówczas USA zmuszone byłyby ogłosić bankructwo, tj. czasowo niewypłacalność.
Czy Stany Zjednoczone zbankrutują w ciągu 3 lat? A jeśli tak, to co oznaczałoby to dla światowej gospodarki?

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    1. Też mi się tak wydaje. Za duży kraj, żeby miał zbankrutować...

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